My series wager on the Tampa Bay Rays over the NY Yankees was a winner, but my distaste for the Houston Astros dented my bankroll as they won their previous series. I released the Rays vs The Cheaters in this series and we're sitting in a good spot at this time.
The Rays are 7-2 this postseason and their pitching staff has allowed two or less runs in five of those nine games. The Rays are allowing an average of 1.3 runs in their last three games. If those numbers continue, the Rays will sweep the Astros. Randy Arozarena, Kevin Kiermaier and Joey Wendle are hitting the ball like it's a softball.
Ryan Yarbrough gets the ball for the Rays tonight, and he was 1-4 with a 3.56 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Yarbrough is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and two strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Astros need a win here to have any chance in this series. The Astros have lost three of their last four games and have scored just three runs in this series.
It's tough to bet against the Rays pitching right now, and Yarbrough is another solid arm who has allowed a combined four runs and 14 hits in his last 15 innings. Furthermore, I'm not betting against my series play. Also, no way am I backing Urquidy off his postseason record of allowing five runs and seven hits in 8.2 innings this postseason, which makes for an ERA over five.
But, the one thing I noticed in this series, as mentioned above, the Astros have been striking the ball, but they're not hitting them where they ain't. I'll let my series wager ride on the Rays, but for action tonight, I'm going to take a shot with the Astros scoring at least 4 runs tonight. Couple that with Urquidy 5+ ERA in postseason I'm going to bang over 8.5 runs in this game. Hey if the score gets to 4-4 we're a winner. Take Under 8.5 Runs
Wondering about the other 6 ET game today. We have that guaranteed pick posted now and don't forget NFL tonight: Buffalo at Tennessee at 7 ET - Yes, we have a selection posted now.