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MLB Division Round Series Picks

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Published by Dennis Stagliano in sports betting · 5 October 2020
Tags: MLBPicksfreemlbseriespicksfreemlbpicks.
I did very well with yesterdays Miami Heat pick. They performed just as I expected. The next game is gonna be unreal because cry baby LeBron is really mad. After the first quarter he said to Jimmy Butler "you're in trouble". After the 4th quarter JB gave it right back to him with his own words "you're in trouble". Cry baby LeBron then walked off the court with 10 seconds left in disgust. Ha ah he got just what he deserved.

Well I also fared well in the wild-card round correctly tabbing the Los Angeles Dodgers as the favorite to load up on and bet your mortgageon. We also cashed in the longshot as well with the Miami Marlins. The lone loser I had was the underdog bet on the Cincinnati Reds who did live up to Joey Votto stating the team was a nightmare; and they were for sure!

It’s time to turn my attention to the division round in hopes of further bolstering the proverebial bank roll. Unlike the opening round where the games took place at the higher seeded teams home field, the division round will take place in a bubble with the Yankees/Rays squaring off in Petco Park, A’s/Astros at Dodger Stadium, Braves/Marlins at Minute Maid Park and Dodgers/Padres at Globe Life Field. Let’s jump into the current MLB series odds offerings and see where the value lies!

ODDS TO WIN DIVISION SERIES
Yankees -130 vs. Rays +110
A’s -137 vs. Astros +137
Braves -306 vs. Marlins +250
Dodgers -297 vs. Padres +243
My Best Favorite to Bet: Atlanta Braves -306
Everything lined up perfectly for the Marlins in the wild-card round. The Chicago Cubs might’ve logged the fourth-best record in the National League, but a bulk of those wins came against NL Central opposition. In case you live under a rock, you know all four teams that qualified for the playoffs from that division failed to advance into the division round. As great a story Miami has been to this point of the MLB betting season, it’s glass slipper is about to get cracked by an Atlanta Braves outfit firmly aware of what the team brings to the table. Though Atlanta doesn’t have much in terms of starting pitching past Max Fried and Ian Anderson, it’s bullpen is second best behind the Dodgers in the National League. On top of that, Freddie Freeman and company flat-out rake right-handed pitching and that’s basically all the Marlins will throw at them at the outset of every game. The fact that the Braves took four of the six regular season meetings leads me to believe they’re a pretty safe bet to advance to the NLCS.

Another Series Bet: Oakland A’s -137
The A’s displayed a ton of moxie by coming back to thwart the Chicago White Sox in the opening round of the postseason. It displayed the heart of a champion in Game 3 by battling back from an early 3-0 deficit to punch its way to the ALDS by way of some timely hitting and a good effort out of the bullpen. That’s been the recipe of success for Bob Melvin’s squad all season long, and I don’t foresee it ending in this crucial series against a Houston team it dominated throughout the regular season. The A’s toppled the Astros in seven of the 10 overall meetings, and won those games by an average of 2.7 runs per game. Matt Olson is one of the premiere first baseman in the game, and he’s backed by a number of gamers in the forms of Ramon Laureano, Mark Canha, Marcus Semien and Khris Davis. Oakland also has a number of live arms in Frankie Montas and Jesus Luzardo who could really give Houston’s bats some issues if they get locked back in. Oakland sports by far the better overall bullpen as well, and that’s ultimately going to decide this one with Houston lacking in the starting pitching department due to a number of crippling injuries. Goodbye cheaters!

Scary Series: LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
Let me preface this by stating I believe the Dodgers have far and away the best roster in the game. No ifs, ands or buts about it. But in a five-game series, the best team doesn’t always win. Jayce Tingler’s squad certainly has the offensive firepower and live arms both in the rotation and pen to spring the upset. Much would have to go right for that to occur however. The inclusion of Mike Clevinger and Dinelson Lamet on the NLDS roster gives me hesitation. Remember what I told you many times before. When you hesitate, back off! But, I have an uneasy feeling about this series, so I'm not going to bet this series. I'll take it game by game. With that, I’d make it a point to see the rosters and pitchers game by game before putting your money down. I’d argue that San Diego’s starting rotation is on par and maybe even better than what the reigning NL West champs bring to the table. Pair that with an explosive offense that could go off at the drop of a hat, and the Dodgers near 75 percent implied probability of winning this series is nothing short of ludicrous! As great Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado have been atop the order, it’s going to take a Herculean effort to advance to the NLCS. I truly believe “Slam Diego” has it in them to pull off the feat, but it’s going to need reinforcements it didn’t have against the weak hitting St. Louis Cardinals to pull it off. Beware and bet careful in this series, it may just break your bankroll.

Yankees - 130 vs Rays
If the regular season means anything, the Yankees figure to be in trouble, as they dropped eight of the 10 meetings between the teams this year. But the Yankees brushed off their road woes by beating the Indians in Cleveland in the wild-card round, while the Rays easily knocked off the Blue Jays. They’ve met just once since Aroldis Chapman threw a 101 mph fastball over Mike Brosseau’s head last month, which fired up the rivalry even more. The Yankees and Rays will be taking the East Coast battle to the West Coast in Petco Park.

Boone said Gerrit Cole will start Game 1. They’ll have to rely on Masahiro Tanaka and — unlike in the wild-card series, at least one more starter, maybe J.A. Happ. If the series goes five games, Jordan Montgomery and Deivi Garcia will potentially be in the mix. The Rays will go with Snell, Tyler Glasnow and Charlie Morton in the first three games. Snell and Glasnow have been excellent and Morton was better toward the end of season. Ryan Yarbrough is a good option for Game 4, with Snell a possibility for Game 5.

This a tough one to handicap, but putting my Yankee fan hat aside and my emphasis on my bankroll, I have to give an edge to the Rays. As I mentioned above, the Yanks dropped eight of their 10 meetings. Conversely, Cole dominated the Rays twice with the Astros in last year’s ALDS. So with that in mind, what are the chances that the Rays will lose 4 straight games vs Cole? I say this because I believe Cole will have to win two games for the Yanks to win the series. My heart says to pass or take the Yanks, but my handicapper within says to back the Rays in the generous underdog role.



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