13 Sports Betting Guidelines to Sharpen Your Wagering Strategy | Gridiron Gold
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13
Football Handicapping Guidelines To Help You Win
Published
by Dennis Stagliano July 1, 2025
Truly
amazing. Unbelievable. When you stop to think about it, the amount
of money wagered annually during football season would boggle your
mind. Millions of dollars laid down by tens of thousands of bettors,
excited to distraction by the irresistible attraction of that
ever-elusive quarry, the point spread winner. "If the three
singles win and I pop on my parlay, Ill take home this much, and then
I will buy this, that or the other thing for the wife. Or maybe I'll
pad the bankroll and up the ante a little next week, or maybe..."
There is only one ‘maybe’ that never seems to be considered:
"Maybe I'll lose."
Post-game
symptoms, however, cannot be denied. The lump in the throat, the
nausea, the nervousness, anxiety and depression, wondering where
you’re going to get the bread to feed your man. It's never easy to
face reality of a dream, which has been shattered, of the money,
which has been lost. Sound familiar? All of us have endured that kind
of disappointment at one time or another. How many have learned from
the bitter experience? How many have used it to help build a better
"football betting foundation?” Losses should at least win
experience for us. We need to question ourselves when we lose. Ask
ourselves not how did I lose, but why did I lose. Rather than worry
about the fumble at the inopportune moment or the blown call by the
zebra, which might have "cost us the game," we need to
concern ourselves with what led us to choose that particular game in
the first place. The answer for the average sports gambler can
usually be attributed to a deficiency in one or more of three
critical areas:
Knowledge, Preparation Time, or Expertise
Knowledge, Preparation Time, or Expertise
What
constitutes adequate knowledge? How many hours is sufficient
preparation time? Who can measure expertise? These are tough
questions. And you can't get the answers in any school, except the
College of Hard Knocks. Fortunately, that happens to be my alma
mater. I've done more than a few rocky semesters at that tough little
university. Perhaps the insight I have gained can help you to avoid
some of the pitfalls of handicapping. Over the course of a football
season it is almost impossible for the unacknowledged to win. That
unbelievable set of numbers they call the football odds is tough to
figure - and tougher to beat - even for the knowledgeable hard
working, dedicated professional. To help you acquire the necessary
knowledge, I have devised a set of handicapping guidelines. Read
them, and digest them. Cling to them like a diabetic to his insulin.
Consider them preventative medicine, a vaccination against the kind
of handicapping diseases mentioned above. Close adherence to these
guidelines can be the kind of prescription, which causes those
sicknesses to remit completely, never to return. And remember, I
don't speak from a pulpit or a pedestal. I know whereof I speak for
one reason and one reason only - because I've been there. And I
won't con you. Understand from the start that the guidelines will not
guarantee a winning season. What they’ll do is establish
discipline, understanding, and a proven methodology. There's a right
way and a wrong way to tackle a running back, and the situation is
much the same in sports betting. It is of the utmost importance to
know and to abide by the right way.
13
Football Handicapping Guidelines To Help You Win at Betting Football
1.
Understand Your Opponent - You're the underdog. You're the one
who's laying 11 to 10 to your friendly bookmaker or sportsbook. This
initially gives you a negative expectancy of 5%. It's a substantial
challenge. The vigorish, or juice, can indeed be overcome, but it is
not to be taken lightly.
2.
Knowledge - Study and understand the game, don't just watch
it. This will provide a necessary basis for insights into determining
trends and developments in a team's performance level.
3.
Preparation - Long-term success can be attributed to hard work
and working smart. There is no way you can neglect the preseason
preparation and season long update. The lure of "easy money"
should be recognized as a mirage. If you think it's easy, you really
don't know enough about it. Read all the pertinent information about
football; know each team's personnel, strengths and weaknesses. This
involves reading newspapers, periodicals and online information on a
regular basis.
4.
Be Objective - When you're watching a game, look at what's
happening-not what you want to see. Being objective will add to your
overall knowledge and help you in selecting your college football
picks and nfl picks.
5.
Money Management - A very critical part of sports betting is
money management. Any successful money management method requires
that you bet more when you're hot and less when you're not. Do not
double up when you are losing. The first thing my godfather taught me
is "do not send good money after bad money".
Be patient because no one wins every day or week. Accept the fact
that good or bad days are part of the game and that winning and
losing streaks happen in cycles. If you are utilizing good
handicapping methods and are on the right side, you will undoubtedly
come out ahead at the end of the season.
6.
Be Confident - Have confidence in your selections. If you
have an uneasy feeling or negative thoughts after making your
selections than I suggest you back off. You should be confident and
relaxed. Don't force yourself to bet if you feel uneasy. Don't bet
just for the purpose of having action on a game.
7.
Utilize Discipline - This is probably one of the hardest
guidelines for the average gambler to accomplish. You must be
selective man. It's impossible to win if you bet every game on the
board or a game just because it is televised. There always seems to
be a nucleus of teams with high rankings and TV exposure. Thus the
trap is set to catch the unsuspecting football bettor betting on the
big name teams or big name QB, which are overrated because of their
reputation. The sportsbooks realize these and set exorbitant prices
on those big names. It may be more profitable to look for the
underdogs anxious to prove that they can be competitive with anyone
and this appearance is their "12th man on the field".
8.
Don't Bet in the Dark - Check for injuries, weather conditions
and the effect the substitute may have on the team. The public puts
too much emphasis on injuries and bookmakers are aware of that when
they make the line. Many times you can win by going against the
public perception when a key player is out and bet against that team.
This is especially true when betting NFL games.
9.
Evaluate Home vs. Away Performance - Remember that a team may
have an entirely different personality on the road than at home. You
must be able to recognize the difference in home vs. away
performance. Over a given period of time a team will form a pattern.
Trends in college football seem to keep right on rolling along even
though the characters change, so keep an eye on these throughout the
year. Beware of trends. if you bet only trends, it's like picking
black or red at the roulette table. I've never known a long term pure
trends handicapper that was much more than a 50% handicapper..Trends
are a small part of handicapping. Use them wisely.
10.
Shop Around - Use as many bookmakers/sportsbooks as you can.
Their lines will vary some and you might as well take advantage of
point differences in your favor. You might even catch a middle, a
situation in which you're risking $1 to make $20 or you may side the
play and get $10 for your risk of $1. It's amazing how many games
fall near or on the pointspread number, so this definitely warrants a
shot. With the introduction of USA legal books, the opportunities of
middle situations have increased. Also an offshore book is an
excellent place to shop and with the convenience of home. Now sports
betting is all over the USA, as many states have legalized sports
betting. Hey, dynamic line movements from offshore books often open
middle opportunities. This will make a substantial difference in your
bottom line. Hey, middling can be a big boost to your season ending
bankroll, so I strongly urge you to consider looking for middle
opportunities.
11.
Find Trustworthy Books - After some investigative analysis,
get yourself ready and secure with reputable sportsbooks. I tell my
customers that the offshore sports book explosion is the best thing
that could have happened for the smart bettor. I personally use
offshore books in addition to my legal state sportsbooks, and other
old school outlets. Then I bet where the price is right. Be careful,
I have heard many horror stories about offshore sportsbooks, so make
sure you go with a reputable sportsbook. One of my all time favorites
is MY BOOKIE. Not only are they reputable, but they have many
contests that are free. I like their weekly football squares where
you can win some serious cash. If you want to compare odds quickly,
go to my NFL
odds page, where you can click on the odds you want, and be
taken directly to your pick choice, at the sportsbook you chose.
Being fast like that, can save you from line changes.
12.
Professional Help - If you’re intelligent enough to realize
that you do not possess the knowledge, preparation and expertise to
be a smart bettor, then a good, reliable expert football handicapper
or honest sports service can be a boost to your bankroll. I
recommend that you look for a football handicapper that has been
around for a while and has proven credentials. I was a pioneer (1982)
by offering guaranteed picks (pay only after you win) service. Also
we were the first to post all our football picks soon after kickoff
time. This ensures honesty and integrity and leaves no doubt that
we’re professionals. All Gridiron
Gold handicapper records are open to the public. Performances
are documented and monitored by a tough group of watchdogs, otherwise
known as our clients. We will always post our selections and results.
In fact, I INSIST on it. A handicapper that posts selections opposed
to one that does not post selections, hmmm, now who you going to
trust? How can anyone trust a handicapper that doesn't show ats
records or uses yesterdays scores to post their records. Never ever,
never ever, one more time so you don’t forget, never ever allow
them to BS or squeeze you! It's your hard earned money that's on the
line (no pun intended), so take control.
13.
Tools to Help You Win - We launched our Gridiron Gold
membership many years ago for the self handicappers. This membership
gives clients tools to help them win NFL and college football picks.
All for as little as a handful of Starbucks visits. Gridiron Gold
subscribers with Gridiron Gold membership get access to a plethora of
handicapper information.
Gridiron
Gold was formed in 1981, and Dennis Stagliano is one of the most
respected sports handicappers in the nation. An award winning
professional sports handicapper second to none. For expert football
handicapping advice, visit Gridiron Gold at www.gridirongold.com
. Take advantage of the guaranteed
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